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| Weekly Fundamental Analysis Reports |
Sell The Euro RallyInvestica | Feb 20 12 02:57 GMT The Eurogroup of Finance Ministers is scheduled to meet on Monday after a series of postponed meetings last week as they look to finally agree a loan package for Greece. The Greek government claims to have found the extra EUR325mn demanded by Brussels and this could in theory allow approve the EUR130bn second loan package. It is increasingly clear that this will not provide a durable solution and the Euro will be dragged down by increasingly severe tensions as French President Sarkozy faces the threat of losing his re-election bid. Read more |
Greece's Day of Reckoning is Only the StartForex.com | Feb 18 12 05:37 GMT Another week and another Greek deadline has come and gone. But EU leaders have vowed yet again that a final decision will come on Monday, and this time they really, really mean it. Except that they're still working over the weekend on the final details of the accord, so yet another impasse or breakdown could materialize. But we'll give them the benefit of the doubt and expect that EU finance ministers will approve the second bailout, likely requiring some form of escrow account. Such an arrangement will set the stage for further showdowns in the months ahead, as Greece will repeatedly need to meet deficit reduction targets to obtain subsequent aid disbursements, and their track record there is not good. Read more |
The Weekly Bottom LineTD Bank Financial Group | Feb 17 12 19:52 GMT Near-term fiscal risks to economic growth were mitigated this week after Congressional leaders struck a deal to extend temporary payroll tax cuts and unemployment insurance benefits through the end of 2012. That leaders managed to reach an agreement without the usual brinkmanship was encouraging, as failure to do so would have dealt a blow to economic momentum just as the recovery is picking up steam. Looking further out, however, there is still significant uncertainty over the future course of government spending, especially as it relates to the draconian budget cuts enshrined in the Budget Control Act (BCA). As such, the risk that fiscal austerity comes to bite in the not-too-distant future persists. Read more |
Weekly Economic and Financial CommentaryWells Fargo Securities | Feb 17 12 19:47 GMT The latest economic data out of the United States was a bit of a let down to some who were hoping a virtuous economic cycle was just getting revved up. The retail sales and industrial production data for January suggest that economic growth may slow down a bit in the first quarter. This is certainly consistent with our current economic growth forecast for Q1 GDP of around 2.0 percent annualized pace from a 2.8 percent annualized pace in the fourth quarter. But there are also signs that some of the disappointing data on retail sales and industrial production may have been at least partly weather-related. Read more |
Greek Drama Goes OnLloyds TSB | Feb 17 12 19:24 GMT The slippage in the already tight timetable for the second Greek bailout has caused concerns to grow again this week. This was exacerbated by some Euro area politicians suggesting that the currency union could now withstand a Greek exit. We are much more sceptical. We do not see senior officials throwing away over two years of work to avert a disorderly Greek default, especially when a deal seems within their grasp. This week should thus prove pivotal. Monday's Eurogroup meeting should agree the final details of the bail-out package. This should pave the way for the opening of the debt swap deal. And Greece should thus receive funds before its crucial 20 March payment is due. Markets would breathe a sigh of relief if this passes without hitch. Moreover, the indications of a separate escrow account for funds to Greece to finance debt payments could fundamentally separate developments in domestic Greek budgets from impacting on wider Euro area financial markets thereafter. Yet we really do not see scope for any further timetable slippage. Read more |
| More Weekly Fundamental Analysis Reports |
- Feb 17 12 15:27 GMT - Weekly Focus: Nerves on Edge, But Brighter Outlook
- Feb 11 12 13:58 GMT - Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary
- Feb 11 12 13:37 GMT - The Weekly Bottom Line
- Feb 11 12 04:51 GMT - Down to the Wire on Greece
- Feb 10 12 16:58 GMT - Groundhog Week?
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